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  • Writer's pictureRealFacts Editorial Team

Why The Fed’s So Cautious About Cutting Interest Rates

Jerome Powell, Fed

The Federal Reserve is poised to reduce interest rates by 25 basis points, a move that has garnered considerable anticipation and speculation.

Graph of June fed reserve projections

Financial analysts and market watchers are keenly awaiting this adjustment, hoping that the Fed will introduce at least one rate cut before the end of the year. The timing of this decision, however, is fraught with complexity and potential consequences.

Graph of likelihood of rate cuts by the end of september

Fed officials are navigating a narrow path between two significant risks. If they delay too long in cutting rates, it could stifle economic activity and negatively impact employment levels. On the other hand, moving too swiftly might reignite inflationary pressures, undermining the stability achieved over the past months.

Graph of the fed signaling willingness to reduce overnight rates

Despite the urgency felt by many sectors of the economy, a rate cut is not expected in July. Current indicators and Fed signals suggest that the reduction is more likely to occur towards the end of September. This timeline allows the Fed to gather more data and better gauge the economic landscape before making a decisive move.

Graph of inflation easing

The Fed's approach reflects a cautious balance between stimulating economic growth and maintaining inflation control. As stakeholders await the end of September, the central bank's strategy will continue to be a focal point in discussions about the future trajectory of the U.S. economy.

1 Comment

Jun 23


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